Italy vs Albania – EURO 2024 – Tips & Predictions – June 15, 2024

Match Details:

    • Match: Italy vs Albania

    • Date: June 15, 2024

    • Competition: EURO 2024

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Analysis and Predictions for EURO 2024 Match: Italy vs Albania

Key Players to Watch:

      • Italy:
            • Federico Chiesa: Known for his pace and dribbling skills, Chiesa can be a game-changer on the wings.

            • Leonardo Bonucci: A veteran defender, Bonucci’s experience and leadership will be crucial in maintaining a solid defense.

        • Albania:
              • Elseid Hysaj: A versatile defender, Hysaj’s ability to play both as a full-back and center-back will be vital for Albania’s defense.

              • Armando Broja: A young forward with potential, Broja’s ability to exploit defensive gaps could be Albania’s best hope for a goal.

        Tactical Analysis:

            • Italy: Italy is likely to employ a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on controlling the midfield and utilizing the wings for attacking plays. Their defense will be organized, with quick transitions from defense to attack.

            • Albania: Albania might adopt a more defensive 4-5-1 formation, aiming to absorb pressure and hit Italy on the counter-attack. Their focus will be on maintaining a compact defense and exploiting set-piece opportunities.

          Social Media Sentiment:

              • Italy: Positive sentiment surrounds the Italian team, with fans and pundits optimistic about their chances. The home advantage adds to the confidence.

              • Albania: Mixed sentiment, with some hope for an upset but general acknowledgment of the challenge they face.

            Conclusion and Final Prediction:

            Italy is heavily favored to win this match, with a high probability of scoring multiple goals while maintaining a strong defensive performance. Albania will need to play exceptionally well and capitalize on any opportunities to challenge Italy’s dominance.

            Final Prediction:

                • Italy 2-0 Albania – 50%

                • Italy 3-1 Albania – 30%

                • Italy 1-0 Albania – 20%

              Italy’s superior form, tactical strength, and home advantage make them the clear favorites to win this match. Albania’s best chance lies in a disciplined defensive performance and effective counter-attacks.

              Fulltime Result Probability:

                • Italy Win: 62.63%

                • Albania Win: 15.77%

                • Draw: 21.63%

              Detailed Analysis:

              • Top Three Most Likely Scores:
                • 1-0 – 12.95%
                • 2-0 – 11.93%
                • 1-1 – 10.31%

              • Both Teams to Score:

                • Yes: 46.44%
                • No: 53.56%

              • Team to Score First:

                • Italy: 74.19%
                • Albania: 19.07%
                • No Goal: 6.74%

              • Over/Under Goals:

                • Over 1.5 Goals: 74.75%
                • Under 1.5 Goals: 25.25%
                • Over 2.5 Goals: 50.89%
                • Under 2.5 Goals: 49.07%
                • Over 3.5 Goals: 28.36%
                • Under 3.5 Goals: 71.64%

              • Corners Over/Under:

                • Over 4 Corners: 93.9%
                • Over 5 Corners: 88.08%
                • Over 6 Corners: 79.72%
                • Over 7 Corners: 69.2%
                • Over 8 Corners: 57.37%
                • Over 9 Corners: 45.35%
                • Over 10 Corners: 34.17%
                • Over 11 Corners: 24.58%

              • Home Team Goals:

                • Over 0.5 Goals: 83.56%
                • Over 1.5 Goals: 54.87%
                • Over 2.5 Goals: 27.81%
                • Over 3.5 Goals: 11.77%

              • Away Team Goals:

                • Over 0.5 Goals: 49.7%
                • Over 1.5 Goals: 17.87%
                • Over 2.5 Goals: 1.07%


              Italy is the clear favorite to win this match with a 62.63% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Italy, followed by 2-0. There is a moderate chance (46.44%) that both teams will score. The game is expected to have over 1.5 goals with a 74.75% probability.

              Historical Performance:

                  • Italy: Italy has a rich history in international football, with multiple World Cup and European Championship titles. They are known for their strong defensive play, often referred to as “Catenaccio,” and have consistently performed well in major tournaments.

                  • Albania: Albania has been an underdog in European football. Their qualification for EURO 2016 was a significant achievement, but they have struggled to make a substantial impact in major tournaments.

                Team Form and Player Availability:

                    • Italy: Italy is expected to field a strong squad with key players from top European clubs. Their recent form in qualifiers and friendlies has been impressive, with a solid defensive record and effective attacking play.

                    • Albania: Albania will rely on a mix of experienced players and young talents. However, they might struggle against Italy’s tactical prowess and depth. Injuries to key players could further weaken their chances.

                  Game Conditions:

                      • Venue: The match will be played in Rome, giving Italy a significant home-field advantage. The familiarity with the stadium and local support will boost their morale.

                      • Weather: June weather in Rome is generally mild, which should not adversely affect the players’ performance.

                    Betting Market Data:

                        • Odds: Italy is the favorite to win, with odds reflecting their superior form and home advantage. Betting markets indicate a high probability of an Italian victory.

                        • Point Spread: The point spread favors Italy by at least one goal, suggesting confidence in their ability to secure a win.

                      Statistical Analysis:

                          • Goals Scored: Italy’s attacking prowess is expected to yield at least 2 goals. Albania’s defense might struggle to contain Italy’s forwards.

                          • Goals Conceded: Italy’s defense is robust, but Albania might manage to score a consolation goal, especially if they capitalize on set-pieces or counter-attacks.

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